Running hot: +5 goals over xG — some of this finishing is likely to regress.
Steady across opponent tiers — no big drop against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| Goals /90 | 0.47 | 0.13 | 0.63 |
| Assists /90 | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| Shots /90 | 2.08 | 1.69 | 2.22 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.23 | 1.30 | 2.11 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.47 | 1.17 | 1.58 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 99th percentile for movement among forwards aged 23–27.
vs forwards aged 23–27 · 264 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Igor Paixão — forwards with this shape at 25.
Watch the downside: pressing (2nd pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Should have had more: 0.91 xG away to QPR, but no goal.