Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Steady across opponent tiers — no big drop against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| Goals /90 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.64 |
| Assists /90 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Shots /90 | 0.93 | 2.37 | 2.42 |
| Key passes /90 | 0.75 | 1.27 | 0.64 |
| Take-ons /90 | 1.30 | 1.27 | 1.13 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 94th percentile for movement among forwards aged 23–27.
vs forwards aged 23–27 · 264 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like João Pedro — forwards with this shape at 25.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Rising asset — up 83% over the last year.
Top underlying game: 0.80 xG away to Rio Ave.