Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Small sample — 27 apps, 853 min. Treat the percentiles with caution.
Shows up against the best — production holds against top-third opponents.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| Goals /90 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Assists /90 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots /90 | 0.27 | 1.61 | 2.83 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.34 | 1.61 | 1.42 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 2.26 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Rising: progression and movement up sharply vs last season.
Ahead of his age group: 81st percentile for movement among U23 forwards.
vs U23 forwards · 149 peers · pool pct → age band| Season | Team | League | Min | Apps | G/90 | A/90 | Sh/90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Watford | Championship | 853 | 27 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1.48 |
| 2024-25 | Watford | Championship | 1,463 | 27 | 0.25 | 0.18 | 1.29 |
Profiles like Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell — forwards with this shape at 23.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Value sliding — down 63% over the last year.
Top underlying game: 0.16 xG vs QPR.