Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Flat-track: production drops sharply against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| Goals /90 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.51 |
| Assists /90 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 0.00 |
| Shots /90 | 1.23 | 1.43 | 2.25 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.05 | 1.11 | 1.64 |
| Take-ons /90 | 2.28 | 1.58 | 1.64 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 99th percentile for progression among forwards aged 23–27.
vs forwards aged 23–27 · 264 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Antony — forwards with this shape at 25.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
At a career-high valuation.
Top underlying game: 0.80 xG vs Tondela.