Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Shows up against the best — output holds against top-third opponents.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals /90 | 0.41 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Assists /90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| Shots /90 | 0.95 | 0.76 | 0.45 |
| Key passes /90 | 0.54 | 1.21 | 0.90 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.68 | 0.76 | 1.34 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite for his age: 95th percentile for movement among U23 forwards.
vs U23 forwards · 149 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like C. McNeill — forwards with this shape at 22.
Watch the downside: pressing (2nd pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Value sliding — down 43% over the last year.
Best underlying game: 1.25 xG vs AZ Alkmaar — and he took it, 2 goals.