Archetype
Clinical Finisher
Shoots relentlessly — and buries them.
Finishing95
Shot Threat90
Movement59
Top rating95Percentile
Identity
Goals
0.50(16)
Assists
0.09(3)
xG
0.48(15)
xA
0.04(1)
- xG / shotTop 10%
- Goals / 90Top 25%
- xG / 90Top 25%
- SoT / 90Top 25%
- Touches / 90Bottom 10%
- Passes / 90Bottom 25%
- Big chances missed / 90Bottom 25%
- xA / 90Bottom 25%
Validation
Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Goals vs xG21 · 20.1
Assists vs xA5 · 1.7
PenaltiesAll 21 from open play
Balanced sources: 75% open play, 25% set pieces.
SourceGoalsxG
Open play1215.9
Set pieces43.0
Penalties00.0
83 shots · UnderstatShows up against the best — output holds against top-third opponents.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| Goals /90 | 0.66 | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| Assists /90 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Shots /90 | 1.97 | 2.62 | 1.17 |
| Key passes /90 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.90 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.85 | 1.21 | 0.45 |
Trajectory
Holding a steady profile vs last season at 30.
2024-25 → 2025-26 · percentile shift
Take-Ons
1456
+43Creation
3325
-8Shot Threat
9490
-5Control
913
+4Elite among his peers: 95th percentile for finishing among forwards aged 28–32.
vs forwards aged 28–32 · 150 peers · pool pct → age bandFinishing
9595th
0Shot Threat
9090th
+0| Season | Team | League | Min | Apps | G/90 | A/90 | Sh/90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Aston Villa | Premier League | 2,864 | 37 | 0.50 | 0.09 | 1.89 |
| 2024-25 | Aston Villa | Premier League | 2,610 | 38 | 0.55 | 0.28 | 2.90 |
| 2023-24 | Aston Villa | Premier League | 3,221 | 37 | 0.53 | 0.36 | 2.99 |
| 2022-23 | Aston Villa | Premier League | 3,136 | 37 | 0.43 | 0.17 | 2.47 |
| 2021-22 | Aston Villa | Premier League | 2,955 | 35 | 0.34 | 0.06 | 2.35 |
| 2020-21 | Aston Villa | Premier League | 3,329 | 37 | 0.38 | 0.14 | 2.62 |
Projection
Max priceAny price
Profiles like A. Adams — forwards with this shape at 30.
A. AdamsSevilla · La Liga
95match
K. YeboahMinnesota United FC · Major League Soccer
93match
CristianMirassol · Serie A
93match
G. SimeoneTorino · Serie A
93match
MariusSamsunspor · Süper Lig
93match
A. ArmstrongWolves · Premier League
92match
S. ArmstrongBristol City · Championship
92match
W. OsulaNewcastle · Premier League
91match
Risk
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Weakest traits for the role
Pressing1
Control13
Creation25
Heating up: recent output is running above his season rate.
Rolling (last 5)Season avg±1 SD range
Goals + assists /901.60 rolling · 0.64 season
Heating up — Goals + assists 1.0 SD above season pace, likely to revert.
Steady on Shots, Shots on target, Key passes — in line with season pace.
Availability52 apps · 3,776 min · ~73/game — last 5: ~90 min/gameMinutes risk · low — starts 83% of available games, 3776 minutes played
Next 6 fixtures
bha (a)ARS (H)hul (a)NFO (H)tot (a)BRE (H)
Market value
Value sliding — down 54% over the last year.
FPL
AS OF 24 AUG 2026£8.0£7.1–£9.510.1% ownedFWD
Current value
€30M
Peak value
€65M
Mar 2024
Career transfers
0
Market-value timeline
25 valuations · AS OF 06 MAY 2026Match evidence
Best underlying game: 1.52 xG vs Liverpool — and he took it, 2 goals.
Biggest underlying gamesxGxGOTG
vs Liverpool1.522.242
@ Arsenal1.450.991
@ Manchester City1.241.83210 of 52 matches