Overperforming xG by +3 — output is a touch ahead of the underlying numbers.
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Ahead of his age group: 81st percentile for movement among forwards aged 23–27.
vs forwards aged 23–27 · 264 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Luís Semedo — forwards with this shape at 25.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Top underlying game: 0.23 xG away to Botafogo.