Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Flat-track: production drops sharply against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| Goals /90 | 0.16 | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| Assists /90 | 0.16 | 0.53 | 0.21 |
| Shots /90 | 0.79 | 1.24 | 1.66 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.11 | 1.77 | 0.83 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.16 | 0.71 | 0.52 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 96th percentile for movement among forwards aged 27–31.
vs forwards aged 27–31 · 170 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like A. Knauff — forwards with this shape at 29.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Heating up: recent output is running above his season rate.
Heating up — Goals + assists 1.1 SD above season pace, likely to revert.
Steady on Shots, Shots on target, Key passes — in line with season pace.
Value sliding — down 33% over the last year.
Best underlying game: 2.02 xG away to Gaziantep FK — and he took it, 1 goal.