Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Steady across opponent tiers — no big drop against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| Goals /90 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.00 |
| Assists /90 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| Shots /90 | 0.86 | 0.85 | 0.23 |
| Key passes /90 | 2.01 | 2.54 | 1.16 |
| Take-ons /90 | 1.15 | 1.69 | 0.69 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Ahead of his age group: 85th percentile for creation among U23 forwards.
vs U23 forwards · 149 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Jan Faberski — forwards with this shape at 23.
Watch the downside: pressing (4th pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Valuation holding steady.
Top underlying game: 0.64 xG vs Estoril, 1 goal.