Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Flat-track: production drops sharply against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| Goals /90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Assists /90 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 0.18 |
| Shots /90 | 1.90 | 2.43 | 0.74 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.90 | 0.61 | 0.92 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.74 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Cooling: shot threat and movement down vs last season at 24.
Middle of his age group: 59th percentile for movement among forwards aged 22–26.
vs forwards aged 22–26 · 259 peers · pool pct → age band| Season | Team | League | Min | Apps | G/90 | A/90 | Sh/90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Arouca | Primeira Liga | 920 | 21 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 1.37 |
| 2024-25 | Arouca | Primeira Liga | 653 | 15 | 0.41 | 0.14 | 1.93 |
Profiles like D. Duarte — forwards with this shape at 24.
Watch the downside: pressing (4th pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Top underlying game: 0.56 xG vs Nacional, 1 goal.