Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Steady across opponent tiers — no big drop against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Goals /90 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| Assists /90 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.00 |
| Shots /90 | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.80 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.79 | 1.14 | 1.05 |
| Take-ons /90 | 1.24 | 1.57 | 1.95 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Holding a steady profile vs last season at 25.
Elite among his peers: 97th percentile for movement among forwards aged 23–27.
vs forwards aged 23–27 · 264 peers · pool pct → age band| Season | Team | League | Min | Apps | G/90 | A/90 | Sh/90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Alverca | Primeira Liga | 1,886 | 27 | 0.29 | 0.10 | 1.53 |
| 2023-24 | Vasco DA Gama | Serie A | 653 | 16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.76 |
Profiles like K. Serna — forwards with this shape at 25.
Watch the downside: pressing (3rd pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Value sliding — down 41% over the last year.
Top underlying game: 0.89 xG away to Guimaraes, 1 goal.