Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Flat-track: production drops sharply against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 8 | 8 |
| Goals /90 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| Assists /90 | 0.16 | 0.36 | 0.00 |
| Shots /90 | 1.44 | 1.27 | 2.30 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.28 | 0.91 | 2.05 |
| Take-ons /90 | 1.28 | 0.91 | 0.51 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite for his age: 92nd percentile for movement among U23 forwards.
vs U23 forwards · 149 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like F. Bianchini — forwards with this shape at 23.
Watch the downside: pressing (9th pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Value sliding — down 80% over the last year.
Top underlying game: 0.88 xG vs Portsmouth, 1 goal.