Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Flat-track: production drops sharply against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 10 | 10 |
| Goals /90 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| Assists /90 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Shots /90 | 0.93 | 1.50 | 2.51 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.73 | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.67 | 2.36 | 1.03 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 97th percentile for progression among forwards aged 29–33.
vs forwards aged 29–33 · 117 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like L. Sauer — forwards with this shape at 31.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Valuation holding steady.
Top underlying game: 0.63 xG vs Heracles, 1 goal.