Underperforming xG by 3 — the chances are there; finishing should catch up.
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 94th percentile for movement among forwards aged 23–27.
vs forwards aged 23–27 · 264 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like M. Fofana — forwards with this shape at 25.
Watch the downside: pressing (2nd pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Rising asset — up 500% over the last year, at a career high.
Best underlying game: 1.47 xG vs Estrela — and he took it, 2 goals.