Leading trait
Progression
Progression99
Movement99
Take-Ons91
Top rating99Percentile
Identity
Goals
0.12(1)
Assists
0.00(0)
xG
0.22(2)
xA
0.21(2)
- Prog. carries / 90Top 5%
- Pass accuracy %Top 5%
- Take-on success %Top 5%
- Take-ons succeeded / 90Top 10%
- Passes / 90Top 25%
- xG / shotBottom 10%
- Big chances created / 90Bottom 10%
- SoT / 90Bottom 25%
- Assists / 90Bottom 25%
Validation
Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Goals vs xG1 · 2.0
Assists vs xA0 · 1.9
PenaltiesAll 1 from open play
Small sample — 19 apps, 835 min. Treat the percentiles with caution.
Open-play threat: 100% of his non-penalty output comes in open play.
SourceGoalsxG
Open play00.0
Set pieces00.0
Penalties00.0
1 shots · UnderstatShows up against the best — production holds against top-third opponents.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals /90 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Assists /90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots /90 | 1.67 | 0.57 | 1.68 |
| Key passes /90 | 2.78 | 2.29 | 1.12 |
| Take-ons /90 | 2.22 | 1.43 | 2.24 |
League-adjustedBPrimeira Liga → Big-5 baseline
Goals / 90raw 0.12
0.03–0.19
Assists / 90*raw 0.00
0.00–0.00
Shots / 90raw 1.07
0.52–2.58
Key passes / 90raw 1.91
1.33–3.75
Tackles / 90raw 0.95
0.71–2.05
Interceptions / 90raw 0.36
0.23–0.49
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Trajectory
Rising: progression and involvement up sharply vs last season — and he's doing it at 20.
2024-25 → 2025-26 · percentile shift
Progression
1699
+83Ball Winning
681
-67Shot Threat
7531
-45Involvement
7099
+29Elite for his age: 99th percentile for progression among U21 forwards.
vs U21 forwards · 72 peers · pool pct → age bandProgression
9999th
+0Movement
9999th
+0| Season | Team | League | Min | Apps | G/90 | A/90 | KP/90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 634 | 13 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 1.91 |
| 2024-25 | Palmeiras | Serie A | 180 | 5 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 3.94 |
| 2023-24 | Palmeiras | Serie A | 563 | 19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.92 |
Projection
Profiles like D. Bakwa — forwards with this shape at 20.
D. BakwaNottingham Forest · Premier League
94match
PedrinhoFC Dallas · Major League Soccer
92match
A. OjedaNew York City FC · Major League Soccer
91match
C. VolpatoSassuolo · Serie A
91match
O. WolffAustin · Major League Soccer
91match
DieguinhoCorinthians · Serie A
90match
O. HutchinsonNottingham Forest · Premier League
89match
A. SlitiFeyenoord · Eredivisie
88match
Risk
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Weakest traits for the role
Pressing1
Finishing29
Shot Threat31
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Steady — recent form is in line with his season rate across all 4 tracked stats.
Availability19 apps · 835 min · ~44/game — last 5: ~32 min/gameMinutes risk · high — starts 47% of available games, 835 minutes played
Market value
Value sliding — down 33% over the last year.
Current value
€12M
Peak value
€24M
Jun 2024
Career transfers
0
Market-value timeline
12 valuations · AS OF 06 MAY 2026Match evidence
Top underlying game: 0.76 xG vs Casa Pia.
Biggest underlying gamesxGxGOTG
vs Casa Pia0.760.000
vs Guimaraes0.590.791
vs Nacional0.110.00010 of 22 matches