Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Behind the curve for the cohort: 32nd percentile for ball winning among U23 defenders.
vs U23 defenders · 139 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Jonathan — defenders with this shape at 22.
Watch the downside: aerial (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Top underlying game: 0.15 xG vs Cruzeiro.