Overperforming xG by +2 — output is a touch ahead of the underlying numbers.
Steady across opponent tiers — no big drop against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals /90 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.78 |
| Assists /90 | 0.34 | 0.23 | 0.62 |
| Shots /90 | 0.52 | 1.82 | 2.80 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.38 | 1.59 | 2.34 |
| Take-ons /90 | 2.41 | 1.14 | 2.80 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Holding a steady profile vs last season at 28.
Elite among his peers: 99th percentile for progression among forwards aged 26–30.
vs forwards aged 26–30 · 211 peers · pool pct → age band| Season | Team | League | Min | Apps | G/90 | A/90 | Sh/90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 1,496 | 25 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 1.74 |
| 2024-25 | Parma | Serie A | 2,000 | 33 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 2.21 |
| 2020-21 | Parma | Serie A | 697 | 14 | 0.26 | 0.13 | 2.45 |
Profiles like I. Mbaye — forwards with this shape at 28.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Valuation holding steady.
Top underlying game: 0.87 xG away to Groningen, 1 goal.