Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Flat-track: production drops sharply against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| Goals /90 | 0.00 | 0.53 | 0.18 |
| Assists /90 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Shots /90 | 0.79 | 1.94 | 1.45 |
| Key passes /90 | 0.47 | 1.23 | 0.72 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.63 | 0.18 | 0.36 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Ahead of his age group: 87th percentile for movement among forwards aged 28–32.
vs forwards aged 28–32 · 150 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Mathias Pereira Lage — forwards with this shape at 30.
Watch the downside: pressing (6th pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Value sliding — down 38% over the last year.
Top underlying game: 0.73 xG away to Blackburn, 1 goal.