Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Middle of his age group: 65th percentile for ball winning among defenders aged 32–36.
vs defenders aged 32–36 · 103 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Willian Machado — defenders with this shape at 34.
Watch the downside: aerial (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Top underlying game: 0.36 xG vs Gremio.