Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Flat-track: production drops sharply against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| Goals /90 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 0.00 |
| Assists /90 | 0.00 | 0.35 | 0.11 |
| Shots /90 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.57 | 2.11 | 2.02 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.29 | 0.94 | 0.96 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 98th percentile for movement among forwards aged 27–31.
vs forwards aged 27–31 · 170 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Carlos Álvarez — forwards with this shape at 29.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Value sliding — down 33% over the last year.