Running hot: +6 goals over xG — some of this finishing is likely to regress.
Steady across opponent tiers — no big drop against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| Goals /90 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
| Assists /90 | 0.18 | 0.54 | 0.43 |
| Shots /90 | 1.07 | 2.34 | 1.58 |
| Key passes /90 | 3.04 | 2.88 | 2.02 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.89 | 1.44 | 0.86 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 97th percentile for creation among forwards aged 25–29.
vs forwards aged 25–29 · 256 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like J. Karlsson — forwards with this shape at 27.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Valuation holding steady.
Best underlying game: 1.47 xG away to Nottingham Forest — and he took it, 2 goals.