Overperforming xG by +2 — output is a touch ahead of the underlying numbers.
Steady across opponent tiers — no big drop against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| Goals /90 | 0.22 | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| Assists /90 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| Shots /90 | 2.05 | 1.67 | 1.74 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.72 | 2.26 | 2.09 |
| Take-ons /90 | 1.08 | 0.95 | 0.93 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 99th percentile for movement among forwards aged 23–27.
vs forwards aged 23–27 · 264 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like E. Mbappé — forwards with this shape at 25.
Watch the downside: pressing (4th pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Valuation holding steady.
Top underlying game: 0.75 xG vs Heerenveen, 1 goal.