Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Flat-track: production drops sharply against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals /90 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| Assists /90 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| Shots /90 | 1.43 | 0.72 | 1.33 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.17 | 0.72 | 1.77 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.22 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite for his age: 97th percentile for movement among U23 forwards.
vs U23 forwards · 149 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Baris Kalayci — forwards with this shape at 23.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
At a career-high valuation.
Top underlying game: 0.57 xG away to Galatasaray.