Lives where the ball is about to land.
Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Flat-track: production drops sharply against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals /90 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.70 |
| Assists /90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots /90 | 1.00 | 2.25 | 2.09 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.70 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Ahead of his age group: 80th percentile for finishing among forwards aged 24–28.
vs forwards aged 24–28 · 266 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Igor Jesus — forwards with this shape at 26.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Value sliding — down 48% over the last year.
Best underlying game: 1.09 xG vs PEC Zwolle — and he took it, 2 goals.