Overperforming xG by +2 — output is a touch ahead of the underlying numbers.
Flat-track: production drops sharply against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| Goals /90 | 0.00 | 1.61 | 0.31 |
| Assists /90 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.31 |
| Shots /90 | 1.28 | 2.41 | 2.47 |
| Key passes /90 | 1.28 | 0.00 | 1.70 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.92 | 0.80 | 1.39 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 97th percentile for movement among forwards aged 24–28.
vs forwards aged 24–28 · 266 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like Mousa Tamari — forwards with this shape at 26.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Heating up: recent output is running above his season rate.
Heating up — Key passes 1.1 SD above season pace, likely to revert.
Steady on Goals + assists, Shots, Shots on target — in line with season pace.
Valuation holding steady.
Top underlying game: 0.62 xG vs Kocaelispor, 1 goal.