Output is real: finishing sits in line with xG.
Steady across opponent tiers — no big drop against the top third.
| Stat | Top third | Middle | Bottom third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| Goals /90 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| Assists /90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Shots /90 | 1.61 | 2.08 | 2.00 |
| Key passes /90 | 2.58 | 2.38 | 1.66 |
| Take-ons /90 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 1.33 |
Adjustment v1.1 · calibrated against 1401 league transitions + 1004 cross-league cup fixtures · methodology
Elite among his peers: 99th percentile for movement among forwards aged 27–31.
vs forwards aged 27–31 · 170 peers · pool pct → age bandProfiles like J. Álvarez — forwards with this shape at 29.
Watch the downside: pressing (1st pct) is a real weakness for the role.
Reliable: form in line with his season rate — no meaningful swings.
Valuation holding steady.
Should have had more: 1.24 xG away to Fatih Karagümrük, but no goal.